Value bet: Dunav Ruse to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDunav Ruse to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.32
FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees FK Minyor Pernik take on Dunav Ruse on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Minyor.
Form guide
FK Minyor Pernik's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia II 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dunav Ruse's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Fratria 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dunav Ruse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for FK Minyor Pernik and 1.3 for Dunav Ruse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%.
Value angle: Dunav Ruse to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Dunav Ruse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Minyor Pernik34%fair 2.95 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Dunav Ruse42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
2.34Expected goals
1.09FK Minyor Pernik xG
1.25Dunav Ruse xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: FK Minyor Pernik 1.1 – 1.3 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunav Ruse to win✓
42%
2.40
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunav Ruse / FT Dunav Ruse✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
FK Minyor Pernik – last 6
LLLLLD
11 May
vs CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Ludogorets II
2–4
L
3 Apr
vs Yantra 2019
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Hebar 1918
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
DLDDDL
11 May
@ Fratria
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Sportist Svoge
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs Marek
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1–1
D
25 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Minyor Pernik and Dunav Ruse.
What is the prediction for FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers FK Minyor Pernik have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunav Ruse 42%.
How many goals will there be in FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Minyor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevlievo3
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2
Fratria3
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Ludogorets II3
Spartak Pleven1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0
CSKA Sofia II3
Marek1
Etar Veliko Tarnovo0