Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas travel to Rakovski Stadium in the Second League on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT) to face Sevlievo.
Form guide
Sevlievo's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Belasitsa 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Marek 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Sevlievo and 1.4 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sevlievo 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevlievo30%fair 3.38 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.14
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas48%fair 2.07 · @2.40
2.38Expected goals
1.00Sevlievo xG
1.39Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Sevlievo 1.0 – 1.4 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✗
48%
2.07
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Sevlievo – last 6
WLLLWD
11 May
vs Belasitsa
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–6
L
9 Apr
vs Spartak Pleven
0–2
L
25 Mar
vs Sportist Svoge
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Fratria
4–1
W
28 Feb
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
LWDWDW
11 May
@ Marek
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Hebar 1918
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
9 Apr
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CSKA Sofia II
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevlievo and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Sevlievo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 48%.
How many goals will there be in Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Sevlievo 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rakovski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2