Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia preview and prediction
The match
Vis Pesaro host Perugia in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Tonino Benelli. Vis Pesaro are 20th with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Perugia sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vis Pesaro's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Juventus U23 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Perugia's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Torres 1–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Vis Pesaro and 0.9 for Perugia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vis Pesaro 43%, draw 24%, Perugia 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vis Pesaro 1–0 Perugia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vis Pesaro43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Perugia34%fair 2.95 · @2.85
2.06Expected goals
1.12Vis Pesaro xG
0.94Perugia xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 1.1 – 0.9 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vis Pesaro to win✗
43%
2.34
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vis Pesaro / FT Vis Pesaro✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Vis Pesaro – last 4
WWDL
8 Mar
@ Juventus U23
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Bra
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Pontedera
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 5
DDWWD
20 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Pontedera
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Livorno
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Athletic Carpi
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vis Pesaro and Perugia.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Perugia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 1–0 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pontedera0
Bra0