Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Gubbio to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGubbio to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Gubbio vs Ravenna preview and prediction
The match
Gubbio host Ravenna in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti. Gubbio are 19th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Ravenna sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gubbio's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Ascoli 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ravenna's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Ascoli 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Gubbio and 1.0 for Ravenna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gubbio 39%, draw 26%, Ravenna 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Gubbio to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Gubbio 1–1 Ravenna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gubbio39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Ravenna35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
2.10Expected goals
1.08Gubbio xG
1.02Ravenna xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.1 – 1.0 Ravenna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gubbio to win✗
39%
2.59
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Gubbio – last 5
LWWLD
15 Mar
vs Ascoli
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Athletic Carpi
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Pontedera
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Ravenna – last 4
LDDW
9 Mar
@ Ascoli
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Pianese
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Juventus U23
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Ravenna.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gubbio vs Ravenna?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ravenna 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Ravenna?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Ravenna?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Ravenna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Ravenna?
Gubbio vs Ravenna (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.