Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForli to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Forli vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Forli take on Pianese on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Forli are 14th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pianese sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Forli's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Juventus U23 2–2 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Pianese's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Pineto 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pianese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Forli and 1.1 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forli 41%, draw 25%, Pianese 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pianese to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Forli 1–1 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forli41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Pianese34%fair 2.96 · @3.45
2.35Expected goals
1.25Forli xG
1.10Pianese xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.2 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✗
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Forli – last 5
DDLLD
15 Mar
vs Juventus U23
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Livorno
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 5
WDDDW
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Bra
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Livorno
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forli vs Pianese?
On our numbers Forli have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pianese 34%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Pianese?
Forli vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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