Value bet: Livorno to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForli to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Forli vs Livorno preview and prediction
The match
Livorno travel to Stadio Tullo Morgagni in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 8 March (12:30 WAT) to face Forli. Forli are 14th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Livorno sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Forli's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Pineto 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Livorno's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Perugia 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Livorno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Forli and 1.1 for Livorno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forli 46%, draw 22%, Livorno 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Livorno to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Forli 1–1 Livorno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forli46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Livorno32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
2.59Expected goals
1.44Forli xG
1.15Livorno xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.4 – 1.1 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Forli – last 3
LLD
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Livorno – last 3
LWL
4 Mar
vs Perugia
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Pineto
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Pianese
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Livorno.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Forli vs Livorno?
On our numbers Forli have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Livorno 32%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Livorno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Livorno?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Livorno?
Forli vs Livorno (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U231
Athletic Carpi1
Ternana0