Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.07
Ternana vs Gubbio preview and prediction
The match
Ternana host Gubbio in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Form guide
Ternana's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Arezzo 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Gubbio's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Athletic Carpi 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ternana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for Ternana and 0.5 for Gubbio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ternana 66%, draw 24%, Gubbio 10%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ternana to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ternana 1–0 Gubbio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ternana66%fair 1.51 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Gubbio10%fair 10.24 · @5.75
2.13Expected goals
1.66Ternana xG
0.47Gubbio xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ternana 1.7 – 0.5 Gubbio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Ternana or draw
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
5.07
–
Form
Ternana – last 4
WLWW
4 Mar
@ Arezzo
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Campobasso FC
2–4
L
23 Feb
vs Forli
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Pineto
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gubbio – last 4
WWLD
4 Mar
vs Athletic Carpi
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Pontedera
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Gubbio.
Our pick is Ternana to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ternana vs Gubbio?
On our numbers Ternana have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gubbio 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Gubbio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Gubbio?
Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Gubbio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ternana vs Gubbio?
Ternana vs Gubbio (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.