Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Guidonia Montecelio 1937 take on Sambenedettese on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Citta dell Aria. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Sambenedettese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Torres 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and 0.9 for Sambenedettese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–0 Sambenedettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guidonia Montecelio 193745%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.95
Sambenedettese31%fair 3.21 · @3.20
1.98Expected goals
1.13Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
0.86Sambenedettese xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.1 – 0.9 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 4
LLDD
4 Mar
@ Torres
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Gubbio
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Pianese
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Forli
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 2
LL
4 Mar
vs Ascoli
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torres
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sambenedettese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–0 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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