Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPianese to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.25
Pianese vs Pineto preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Pianese take on Pineto on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale. Pianese are 16th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pineto sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pianese's last 4: DDDW Most recently they drew with Ravenna 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pineto's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Forli 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Pianese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Pianese and 1.0 for Pineto. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pianese 45%, draw 24%, Pineto 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Pianese 1–1 Pineto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pianese45%fair 2.20 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Pineto31%fair 3.23 · @3.10
2.20Expected goals
1.24Pianese xG
0.96Pineto xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pianese 1.2 – 1.0 Pineto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pianese to win✓
45%
2.20
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pianese / FT Pianese✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.25
–
Form
Pianese – last 4
DDDW
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Bra
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Livorno
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Pineto – last 3
WLL
4 Mar
vs Forli
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ Livorno
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Ternana
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pianese and Pineto.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Pianese vs Pineto?
On our numbers Pianese have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pineto 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pianese vs Pineto?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pianese vs Pineto?
Our predicted score is Pianese 1–1 Pineto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pianese vs Pineto?
Pianese vs Pineto (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U231
Athletic Carpi1
Ternana0