Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Trento to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrento to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceTrento or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Trento vs Renate preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Trento take on Renate on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Briamasco. Trento are 3rd with 27 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Renate sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trento's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Inter U23 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Renate's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat PRO Vercelli 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Trento and 0.7 for Renate. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trento 62%, draw 24%, Renate 14%.
Safer route: Trento or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Trento to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trento or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trento 1–0 Renate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trento62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.35
Renate14%fair 6.93 · @3.65
2.51Expected goals
1.78Trento xG
0.74Renate xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Trento 1.8 – 0.7 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trento to win✗
62%
1.62
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Trento or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Trento ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trento / FT Trento✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Form
Trento – last 5
LDWWW
8 Apr
@ Inter U23
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Triestina
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Vicenza Virtus
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ PRO Vercelli
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Pro Patria
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Renate – last 5
WDDWL
13 Apr
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Lecco
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trento and Renate.
Our pick is Trento or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trento vs Renate?
On our numbers Trento have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Renate 14%.
How many goals will there be in Trento vs Renate?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trento vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Trento 1–0 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Trento vs Renate?
Trento vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Briamasco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.