Novara host Cittadella in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Silvio Piola. Novara are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cittadella sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Novara's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Lumezzane 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cittadella's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Union Brescia 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Novara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Novara and 1.2 for Cittadella. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Novara 1–1 Cittadella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novara39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Cittadella36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
2.37Expected goals
1.22Novara xG
1.15Cittadella xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Novara 1.2 – 1.2 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
39%
2.54
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.81
–
Form
Novara – last 6
LWDWDW
3 Apr
vs Lumezzane
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Alcione
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Lecco
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cittadella – last 6
LWLWDD
3 Apr
@ Union Brescia
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Lecco
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter U23
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Cittadella.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Novara vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Novara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cittadella 36%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Cittadella?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Cittadella?
Novara vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina0
Vicenza Virtus0
Pro Patria2
Inter U230
Virtus Verona1