Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Virtus Verona to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVirtus Verona to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87
Virtus Verona vs Alcione preview and prediction
The match
Alcione travel to Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 19 April (13:30 WAT) to face Virtus Verona.
Form guide
Virtus Verona's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Ospitaletto 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alcione's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Lecco 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alcione arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Virtus Verona and 1.0 for Alcione. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Virtus Verona to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Virtus Verona 1–1 Alcione. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Verona41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Alcione34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
2.23Expected goals
1.18Virtus Verona xG
1.05Alcione xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Virtus Verona 1.2 – 1.0 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Verona to win✗
41%
2.45
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Verona / FT Virtus Verona✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
Virtus Verona – last 6
DLDLLD
6 Apr
vs Ospitaletto
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Renate
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Novara
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Vicenza Virtus
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Lecco
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alcione – last 5
LLDDW
10 Apr
vs Lecco
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Novara
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Verona and Alcione.
What is the prediction for Virtus Verona vs Alcione?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Virtus Verona vs Alcione?
On our numbers Virtus Verona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alcione 34%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Verona vs Alcione?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Verona vs Alcione?
Our predicted score is Virtus Verona 1–1 Alcione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Virtus Verona vs Alcione?
Virtus Verona vs Alcione (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina0
Vicenza Virtus0
Pro Patria2
Inter U230