Albinoleffe vs Triestina Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✓61% · @1.95

Double chanceAlbinoleffe or draw ✓82% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28

Albinoleffe vs Triestina preview and prediction

The match

The Serie C Girone A sees Albinoleffe take on Triestina on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at AlbinoLeffe.

Form guide

Albinoleffe's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Pergolettese 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Triestina's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Pro Patria 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Albinoleffe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Albinoleffe and 0.8 for Triestina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Albinoleffe 61%, draw 21%, Triestina 18%.
Safer route: Albinoleffe or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Albinoleffe to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Albinoleffe or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Albinoleffe 1–0 Triestina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Albinoleffe61%fair 1.64 · @1.95

Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.20

Triestina18%fair 5.48 · @3.60

2.54Expected goals

1.74Albinoleffe xG

0.80Triestina xG

55%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%

2–012%

1–111%

2–110%

0–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.7 – 0.8 Triestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Albinoleffe to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Albinoleffe or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Half-time result	Albinoleffe ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✗	37%	2.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	7.28	–

Form

Albinoleffe – last 6

WDWWDW

6 Apr	vs Pergolettese	3–0	W
28 Mar	@ Lumezzane	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Virtus Verona	3–1	W
3 Mar	vs Union Brescia	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Lecco	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Arzignano Valchiampo	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Triestina – last 6

DDLLLL

6 Apr	@ Pro Patria	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Trento	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs PRO Vercelli	2–3	L
3 Mar	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	2–3	L
27 Feb	@ Pergolettese	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Novara	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Our pick is Albinoleffe or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Triestina 18%.

How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–0 Triestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Albinoleffe vs Triestina?

Albinoleffe vs Triestina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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