SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSS Reyes to win ✗66% · @1.60

Double chanceSS Reyes or draw ✗88% · @1.09

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37

SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III preview and prediction

The match

SS Reyes host Real Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera. SS Reyes are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Real Madrid III sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

SS Reyes's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Intercity 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Real Madrid III's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Colonia Moscardó 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

SS Reyes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 2.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for SS Reyes and 0.6 for Real Madrid III. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%.

Betting angles

Win chances: SS Reyes 66%, draw 22%, Real Madrid III 12%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was SS Reyes to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SS Reyes 1–0 Real Madrid III. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

SS Reyes66%fair 1.52 · @1.60

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40

Real Madrid III12%fair 8.08 · @5.00

2.45Expected goals

1.81SS Reyes xG

0.63Real Madrid III xG

43%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%

2–014%

1–110%

2–19%

0–09%

3–09%

From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.8 – 0.6 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SS Reyes to win ✗	66%	1.52	1.60 ▲
Double chance	SS Reyes or draw ✗	88%	1.14	1.09
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Half-time result	SS Reyes ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes ✗	42%	2.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.37	–

Form

SS Reyes – last 5

WWDWW

5 Apr	@ Intercity	2–0	W
15 Mar	@ Las Palmas II	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ CD Coria	1–1	D
21 Feb	vs Quintanar del Rey	3–2	W
15 Feb	@ Rayo Vallecano II	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Real Madrid III – last 6

WWLWWL

14 Apr	vs Colonia Moscardó	1–0	W
11 Apr	@ Las Palmas II	1–0	W
5 Apr	vs CD Coria	2–3	L
15 Mar	@ Quintanar del Rey	2–1	W
8 Mar	vs Tenerife II	4–0	W
1 Mar	@ Navalcarnero	0–2	L

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

Our pick is SS Reyes to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

On our numbers SS Reyes have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid III 12%.

How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–0 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III?

SS Reyes vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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