Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Rayo Majadahonda or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Rayo Majadahonda to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRayo Majadahonda to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceRayo Majadahonda or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Fuenlabrada take on Rayo Majadahonda on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Form guide
Fuenlabrada's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Socuéllamos 3–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Elche II 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rayo Majadahonda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.8 for Fuenlabrada and 1.5 for Rayo Majadahonda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Safer route: Rayo Majadahonda or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Rayo Majadahonda to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rayo Majadahonda or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fuenlabrada 0–1 Rayo Majadahonda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fuenlabrada21%fair 4.68 · @3.55
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Rayo Majadahonda57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
2.33Expected goals
0.80Fuenlabrada xG
1.53Rayo Majadahonda xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Fuenlabrada 0.8 – 1.5 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Rayo Majadahonda or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.70
–
Form
Fuenlabrada – last 6
WLLWDL
19 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Elche II
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Intercity
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
WWLDWL
19 Apr
@ Elche II
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
3–2
W
29 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Intercity
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Orihuela
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fuenlabrada and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Rayo Majadahonda or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Fuenlabrada have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Majadahonda 57%.
How many goals will there be in Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Fuenlabrada 0–1 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Coria4
Elche II0
Colonia Moscardó0
Navalcarnero0
Conquense1
Tenerife II0
Getafe II0
Intercity1
Las Palmas II2
Orihuela1
Quintanar del Rey0
RSD Alcalá0
Rayo Vallecano II0
Socuéllamos2
SS Reyes0
Real Madrid III3