Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Conquense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultConquense to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.19
Conquense vs Tenerife II preview and prediction
The match
Tenerife II travel to Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT) to face Conquense.
Form guide
Conquense's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Navalcarnero 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tenerife II's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat CD Coria 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Conquense and 0.9 for Tenerife II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Conquense 62%, draw 21%, Tenerife II 17%.
Safer route: Conquense or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Conquense to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Conquense or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Conquense 1–0 Tenerife II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conquense62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Tenerife II17%fair 5.84 · @3.50
2.73Expected goals
1.87Conquense xG
0.86Tenerife II xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Conquense 1.9 – 0.9 Tenerife II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
Conquense – last 6
LDWWWD
19 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Orihuela
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Colonia Moscardó
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Intercity
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Getafe II
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tenerife II – last 6
WLWLLW
19 Apr
vs CD Coria
4–0
W
12 Apr
vs Elche II
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Orihuela
1–3
L
22 Mar
@ Getafe II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Tenerife II.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Our pick is Conquense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Conquense vs Tenerife II?
On our numbers Conquense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tenerife II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Tenerife II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Our predicted score is Conquense 1–0 Tenerife II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Tenerife II?
Conquense vs Tenerife II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.