Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultRSD Alcalá to win ✗40% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.63

Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá preview and prediction

The match

The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Quintanar del Rey take on RSD Alcalá on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio San Marcos.

Form guide

Quintanar del Rey's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Intercity 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

RSD Alcalá's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano II 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

RSD Alcalá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Quintanar del Rey and 1.2 for RSD Alcalá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Quintanar del Rey 35%, draw 25%, RSD Alcalá 40%.
Value angle: RSD Alcalá to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Quintanar del Rey35%fair 2.89 · @2.45

Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.95

RSD Alcalá40%fair 2.49 · @2.70

2.37Expected goals

1.13Quintanar del Rey xG

1.24RSD Alcalá xG

48%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.1 – 1.2 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	RSD Alcalá to win ✗	40%	2.49	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.34	1.28
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá ✗	22%	4.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.63	–

Form

Quintanar del Rey – last 6

WWWLLW

19 Apr	@ Intercity	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Fuenlabrada	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Navalcarnero	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Socuéllamos	1–3	L
15 Mar	vs Real Madrid III	1–2	L
8 Mar	@ Las Palmas II	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 6

WWWWWL

19 Apr	vs Rayo Vallecano II	3–0	W
12 Apr	@ Fuenlabrada	2–0	W
5 Apr	vs Las Palmas II	2–1	W
29 Mar	@ Rayo Majadahonda	2–1	W
22 Mar	vs Navalcarnero	1–0	W
15 Mar	@ Tenerife II	0–3	L

1.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RSD Alcalá 40%.

How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Our predicted score is Quintanar del Rey 1–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá?

Quintanar del Rey vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio San Marcos.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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