The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Xerez Deportivo take on Xerez on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Form guide
Xerez Deportivo's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Xerez's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Puente Genil 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Xerez Deportivo and 1.1 for Xerez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Xerez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez Deportivo34%fair 2.96 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.88
Xerez41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
1.98Expected goals
0.93Xerez Deportivo xG
1.05Xerez xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Xerez Deportivo 0.9 – 1.1 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez to win✗
41%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Xerez Deportivo – last 6
LDLWWL
19 Apr
@ Deportiva Minera
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Linares Deportivo
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Águilas
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Almería II
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Melilla
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Xerez – last 5
LWWLD
5 Apr
vs Puente Genil
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Recreativo Huelva
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Yeclano
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez Deportivo and Xerez.
What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?
On our numbers Xerez Deportivo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Xerez 41%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?
Our predicted score is Xerez Deportivo 1–1 Xerez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez?
Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.