Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuente Genil to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chancePuente Genil or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Puente Genil vs Málaga II preview and prediction
The match
Málaga II travel to Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT) to face Puente Genil.
Form guide
Puente Genil's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Deportiva Minera 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Málaga II's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Yeclano 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Puente Genil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Puente Genil and 0.7 for Málaga II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puente Genil 65%, draw 19%, Málaga II 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Puente Genil to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Puente Genil 1–0 Málaga II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puente Genil65%fair 1.53 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Málaga II15%fair 6.59 · @5.25
2.53Expected goals
1.83Puente Genil xG
0.71Málaga II xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.8 – 0.7 Málaga II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puente Genil to win✓
65%
1.53
1.55
Double chance
Puente Genil or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Puente Genil ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
Puente Genil – last 6
DWLLLW
12 Apr
vs Deportiva Minera
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Xerez
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Linares Deportivo
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Águilas
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Estepona
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Málaga II – last 4
LLLL
22 Mar
@ Yeclano
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Deportiva Minera
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Linares Deportivo
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Águilas
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Málaga II.
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Málaga II?
Our pick is Puente Genil to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Málaga II?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Málaga II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Málaga II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puente Genil vs Málaga II?
Our predicted score is Puente Genil 1–0 Málaga II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Puente Genil vs Málaga II?
Puente Genil vs Málaga II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Manuel Polinario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.