The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Estepona take on Águilas on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez.
Form guide
Estepona's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Melilla 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Águilas's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Melilla 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Estepona and 1.2 for Águilas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estepona 35%, draw 26%, Águilas 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Estepona 1–1 Águilas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estepona35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Águilas39%fair 2.58 · @2.60
2.25Expected goals
1.09Estepona xG
1.16Águilas xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estepona 1.1 – 1.2 Águilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✗
39%
2.58
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
Estepona – last 6
DWWLWW
5 Apr
vs Melilla
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Lorca Deportiva
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs La Unión Atlético
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Puente Genil
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Ucam Murcia
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Águilas – last 6
WWWLDW
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Puente Genil
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Real Jaén
1–3
L
25 Feb
vs Recreativo Huelva
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Málaga II
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estepona and Águilas.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estepona vs Águilas?
On our numbers Estepona have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águilas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Águilas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Águilas?
Our predicted score is Estepona 1–1 Águilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estepona vs Águilas?
Estepona vs Águilas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almería II3
Deportiva Minera4
Extremadura 19244
La Unión Atlético2
Lorca Deportiva2
Yeclano2
Málaga II1
Ucam Murcia1
Real Jaén2
Xerez Deportivo0