The Segunda División RFEF Group 2 sees Basconia take on Gernika on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Artunduaga.
Form guide
Basconia's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Mutilvera 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Basconia and 0.9 for Gernika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Basconia 57%, draw 20%, Gernika 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Basconia to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Basconia 1–0 Gernika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Basconia57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.25
Gernika22%fair 4.53 · @4.40
2.59Expected goals
1.68Basconia xG
0.91Gernika xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Basconia 1.7 – 0.9 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Basconia – last 6
WWWDDW
12 Apr
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ SD Logroñés
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Alfaro
6–4
W
22 Mar
@ Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Real Zaragoza II
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Amorebieta
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 2
LD
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Gernika.
Our pick is Basconia to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Basconia vs Gernika?
On our numbers Basconia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gernika 22%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Basconia 1–0 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Gernika?
Basconia vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Artunduaga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfaro0
SD Logroñés1
Amorebieta1
Sestao River1
Ejea1
Eibar II1
Náxara1
Beasain0
Tudelano1
Deportivo Alavés II2
UD Logroñés3
Mutilvera0
Utebo1
Ebro0
Real Zaragoza II3
Real Unión1