Value bet: Amorebieta to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Amorebieta vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
Sestao River travel to Campo Municipal de Urritxe in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT) to face Amorebieta.
Form guide
Amorebieta's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Alavés II 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sestao River's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Beasain 1–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Amorebieta and 1.1 for Sestao River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amorebieta 35%, draw 26%, Sestao River 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Amorebieta to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amorebieta 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amorebieta35%fair 2.83 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Sestao River39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
2.13Expected goals
1.03Amorebieta xG
1.10Sestao River xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.0 – 1.1 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✗
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Amorebieta – last 6
WWDDDL
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Eibar II
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Tudelano
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Alfaro
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Real Zaragoza II
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Basconia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 5
DDWDL
5 Apr
vs Beasain
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Náxara
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Gernika
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sestao River 39%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Sestao River?
Amorebieta vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfaro0
SD Logroñés1
Basconia0
Gernika0
Ejea1
Eibar II1
Náxara1
Beasain0
Tudelano1
Deportivo Alavés II2
UD Logroñés3
Mutilvera0
Utebo1
Ebro0
Real Zaragoza II3
Real Unión1