UD Logroñés host Mutilvera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
UD Logroñés's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mutilvera's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Basconia 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
UD Logroñés arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for UD Logroñés and 0.6 for Mutilvera. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UD Logroñés 74%, draw 19%, Mutilvera 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UD Logroñés 2–1 Mutilvera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UD Logroñés74%fair 1.35 · @1.11
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @7.00
Mutilvera6%fair 15.43 · @23.00
2.98Expected goals
2.35UD Logroñés xG
0.63Mutilvera xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: UD Logroñés 2.4 – 0.6 Mutilvera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✓
74%
1.35
1.11
Double chance
UD Logroñés or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
UD Logroñés ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
51%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
UD Logroñés – last 6
DWWWWW
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Alfaro
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Real Unión
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gernika
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs SD Logroñés
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Zaragoza II
6–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mutilvera – last 5
LDLWL
12 Apr
@ Basconia
0–4
L
3 Apr
vs Ebro
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Sestao River
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ SD Logroñés
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Alfaro
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Logroñés and Mutilvera.
What is the prediction for UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera?
On our numbers UD Logroñés have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mutilvera 6%.
How many goals will there be in UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera?
Our predicted score is UD Logroñés 2–1 Mutilvera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera?
UD Logroñés vs Mutilvera (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.