Real Avilés host Zamora in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. Real Avilés are 4th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Zamora sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Zamora's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Guadalajara 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Real Avilés and 1.4 for Zamora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Avilés 36%, draw 25%, Zamora 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Avilés 1–1 Zamora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Avilés36%fair 2.80 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Zamora40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
2.63Expected goals
1.27Real Avilés xG
1.36Zamora xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Avilés 1.3 – 1.4 Zamora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✓
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Real Avilés – last 2
DL
27 Feb
@ Tenerife
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo II
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zamora – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Athletic Club II
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Barakaldo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Avilés and Zamora.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Zamora?
On our numbers Real Avilés have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zamora 40%.
How many goals will there be in Real Avilés vs Zamora?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Avilés vs Zamora?
Our predicted score is Real Avilés 1–1 Zamora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Avilés vs Zamora?
Real Avilés vs Zamora (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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