Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Racing Ferrol to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Ferrol to win61% · @1.80
Double chanceRacing Ferrol or draw81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.43
Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño preview and prediction
The match
Racing Ferrol host Cacereño in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal da Malata. Racing Ferrol are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Cacereño sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Racing Ferrol and 0.7 for Cacereño. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Ferrol 61%, draw 21%, Cacereño 19%.
Safer route: Racing Ferrol or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Racing Ferrol to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Racing Ferrol 1–0 Cacereño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Ferrol61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.25
Cacereño19%fair 5.39 · @4.33
2.34Expected goals
1.62Racing Ferrol xG
0.72Cacereño xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.6 – 0.7 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Racing Ferrol or draw
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.43
–
Form
Racing Ferrol – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Cacereño.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cacereño 19%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–0 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño?
Racing Ferrol vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ourense CF0