Value bet: Gimnastic to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTarazona to win43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.14
Tarazona vs Gimnastic preview and prediction
The match
Gimnastic travel to Municipal de Tarazona in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 10 May (15:30 WAT) to face Tarazona.
Form guide
Tarazona's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Teruel 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnastic's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Marbella 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Tarazona and 1.0 for Gimnastic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Gimnastic to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tarazona 1–0 Gimnastic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tarazona43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Gimnastic33%fair 3.01 · @3.35
2.10Expected goals
1.15Tarazona xG
0.96Gimnastic xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tarazona 1.1 – 1.0 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tarazona to win
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tarazona / FT Tarazona
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.14
–
Form
Tarazona – last 6
DLLDLW
3 May
@ Teruel
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Eldense
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 5
LLDLW
19 Apr
@ Marbella
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Antequera
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tarazona and Gimnastic.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tarazona vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Tarazona have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnastic 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tarazona vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tarazona vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is Tarazona 1–0 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tarazona vs Gimnastic?
Tarazona vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Tarazona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella0
Sevilla Atletico2
Eldense2
Real Betis II