Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEuropa Fc to win38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.34
Europa Fc vs Villarreal II preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal II travel to Can Drago in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 10 May (15:30 WAT) to face Europa Fc. Europa Fc are 16th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Villarreal II sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Europa Fc's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Alcorcon 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Villarreal II's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Hércules 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarreal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Europa Fc and 1.2 for Villarreal II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Europa Fc 38%, draw 25%, Villarreal II 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Villarreal II to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Europa Fc 1–1 Villarreal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Europa Fc38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Villarreal II37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.23Europa Fc xG
1.21Villarreal II xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Europa Fc 1.2 – 1.2 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Europa Fc to win
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Europa Fc / FT Europa Fc
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.34
–
Form
Europa Fc – last 6
WLLLLW
1 May
@ Alcorcon
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Real Murcia
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Eldense
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Antequera
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 6
WWWDLW
3 May
vs Hércules
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Alcorcon
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Algeciras
4–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Europa Fc and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Europa Fc vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Europa Fc vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Europa Fc have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villarreal II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Europa Fc vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Europa Fc vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Europa Fc 1–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Europa Fc vs Villarreal II?
Europa Fc vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Can Drago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.