Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Antequera to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntequera to win62% · @1.95
Double chanceAntequera or draw88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.33
Antequera vs Teruel preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Antequera take on Teruel on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Estadio El Maulí. Antequera are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Teruel sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Antequera's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Real Murcia 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Teruel's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Tarazona 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Antequera and 0.5 for Teruel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antequera 62%, draw 26%, Teruel 12%.
Safer route: Antequera or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Antequera to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Antequera 1–0 Teruel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antequera62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Teruel12%fair 8.59 · @4.33
2.14Expected goals
1.59Antequera xG
0.55Teruel xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Antequera 1.6 – 0.5 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antequera to win
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Antequera or draw
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antequera / FT Antequera
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
19%
5.33
–
Form
Antequera – last 6
WDWWLW
17 Apr
@ Real Murcia
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Algeciras
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Gimnastic
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Europa Fc
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Hércules
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
DDWDDW
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antequera and Teruel.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Antequera vs Teruel?
On our numbers Antequera have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Teruel 12%.
How many goals will there be in Antequera vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antequera vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Antequera 1–0 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Antequera vs Teruel?
Antequera vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Maulí.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.