Value bet: Juventud Torremolinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud Torremolinos to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.37
Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Marbella take on Juventud Torremolinos on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Banús Football Center.
Form guide
Marbella's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Gimnastic 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventud Torremolinos's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Atlético Madrid II 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Marbella and 1.7 for Juventud Torremolinos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Juventud Torremolinos to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Marbella 0–1 Juventud Torremolinos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marbella20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.55
Juventud Torremolinos61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.54Expected goals
0.82Marbella xG
1.71Juventud Torremolinos xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Marbella 0.8 – 1.7 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Torremolinos to win✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Torremolinos / FT Juventud Torremolinos✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.37
–
Form
Marbella – last 6
WLLWWD
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
WLLWWD
3 May
vs Atlético Madrid II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Juventud Torremolinos.
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
On our numbers Marbella have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juventud Torremolinos 61%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Our predicted score is Marbella 0–1 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos?
Marbella vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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