Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sabadell to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabadell to win66% · @1.67
Double chanceSabadell or draw88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.55
Sabadell vs Hércules preview and prediction
The match
Sabadell host Hércules in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Form guide
Sabadell's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Real Betis II 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hércules's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Cacahuatique 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Sabadell and 0.5 for Hércules. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sabadell to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sabadell 1–0 Hércules. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabadell66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Hércules12%fair 8.51 · @5.10
2.24Expected goals
1.70Sabadell xG
0.54Hércules xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.7 – 0.5 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Sabadell or draw
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Sabadell ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.55
–
Form
Sabadell – last 6
LDDDWL
5 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Villarreal II
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
LLWLWD
9 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Alcorcon
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Marbella
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Real Murcia
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Hércules.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sabadell vs Hércules?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hércules 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 1–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Hércules?
Sabadell vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Tarazona0
Eldense0