Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEldense to win60% · @1.73
Double chanceEldense or draw82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.64
Eldense vs FC Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
Eldense host FC Cartagena in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Form guide
Eldense's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Europa Fc 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Cartagena's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Tarazona 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Eldense and 0.6 for FC Cartagena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eldense 60%, draw 22%, FC Cartagena 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Eldense to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Eldense 1–0 FC Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eldense60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
FC Cartagena18%fair 5.64 · @4.80
2.13Expected goals
1.50Eldense xG
0.64FC Cartagena xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.5 – 0.6 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eldense to win
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Eldense or draw
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eldense / FT Eldense
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.64
–
Form
Eldense – last 5
WWWLD
3 Apr
vs Europa Fc
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tarazona
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Ibiza
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Villarreal II
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 5
DDWWW
8 Mar
@ Tarazona
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Eldense to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Eldense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Cartagena 18%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Eldense 1–0 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs FC Cartagena?
Eldense vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Tarazona0
Sabadell0