Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlgeciras to win45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.78
Algeciras vs Tarazona preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras host Tarazona in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Form guide
Algeciras's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Villarreal II 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tarazona's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Eldense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Algeciras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Algeciras and 0.9 for Tarazona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Algeciras 1–0 Tarazona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeciras45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Tarazona32%fair 3.17 · @3.30
2.07Expected goals
1.17Algeciras xG
0.90Tarazona xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.2 – 0.9 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.78
–
Form
Algeciras – last 6
LDWWDL
12 Apr
@ Villarreal II
0–4
L
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 5
LLDLW
29 Mar
vs Eldense
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Tarazona.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Algeciras vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tarazona 32%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Tarazona?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Tarazona?
Algeciras vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella2
Sevilla Atletico1
Real Betis II2
Eldense0
Sabadell0