Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Sabadell to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabadell to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Villarreal II vs Sabadell preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal II host Sabadell in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Form guide
Villarreal II's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Teruel 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sabadell's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Gimnastic 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarreal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Villarreal II and 1.1 for Sabadell. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 33%, draw 29%, Sabadell 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Sabadell to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–1 Sabadell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II33%fair 3.00 · @2.88
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.50
Sabadell38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.15Expected goals
1.03Villarreal II xG
1.12Sabadell xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.0 – 1.1 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win✗
38%
2.65
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Villarreal II – last 3
LWW
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 4
DDWL
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Sabadell.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sabadell 38%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Villarreal II vs Sabadell (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona1
Eldense2
Marbella0