Value bet: Stade Briochin to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConcarneau to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Stade Briochin vs Concarneau preview and prediction
The match
Concarneau travel to Stade Fred-Aubert in the National 1 on Friday 24 April (18:30 WAT) to face Stade Briochin.
Form guide
Stade Briochin's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Villefranche 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Concarneau's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Rouen 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Stade Briochin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Stade Briochin and 1.3 for Concarneau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Stade Briochin to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Stade Briochin 1–1 Concarneau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Briochin33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.80
Concarneau41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
2.42Expected goals
1.13Stade Briochin xG
1.29Concarneau xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stade Briochin 1.1 – 1.3 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Stade Briochin – last 6
DDLWLL
10 Apr
vs Villefranche
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Caen
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Rouen
2–3
L
6 Mar
vs Orleans
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 6
DDLLLL
17 Apr
vs Rouen
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ Orleans
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Le Puy Foot
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Briochin and Concarneau.
What is the prediction for Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Stade Briochin have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Concarneau 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Stade Briochin 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Stade Briochin vs Concarneau?
Stade Briochin vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Fred-Aubert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Sochaux2
Dijon1