Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Chateauroux vs Fleury 91 preview and prediction
The match
Fleury 91 travel to Stade Gaston Petit in the National 1 on Friday 24 April (18:30 WAT) to face Chateauroux.
Form guide
Chateauroux's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Fleury 91's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Valenciennes 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Fleury 91 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Chateauroux and 1.5 for Fleury 91. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chateauroux 1–1 Fleury 91. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chateauroux32%fair 3.12 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Fleury 9147%fair 2.12 · @2.30
2.62Expected goals
1.14Chateauroux xG
1.47Fleury 91 xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.1 – 1.5 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✓
47%
2.12
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Chateauroux – last 6
LLDWLL
17 Apr
@ Versailles
0–4
L
10 Apr
vs Quevilly
3–5
L
3 Apr
@ Aubagne
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Concarneau
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fleury 91 – last 6
WDWWDW
17 Apr
vs Valenciennes
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Sochaux
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Dijon
3–1
W
27 Mar
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Versailles
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Quevilly
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Fleury 91.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Fleury 91?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Fleury 91?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fleury 91 47%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Fleury 91?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Fleury 91?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Fleury 91, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Fleury 91?
Chateauroux vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin1
Dijon1