The National 1 sees Rouen take on Aubagne on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rouen's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Concarneau 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aubagne's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Orleans 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Rouen and 0.7 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rouen 66%, draw 22%, Aubagne 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Rouen 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen66%fair 1.53 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.75
Aubagne13%fair 7.79 · @6.40
2.52Expected goals
1.85Rouen xG
0.67Aubagne xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.8 – 0.7 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
66%
1.53
1.48
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Rouen ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Rouen – last 6
DLDDWL
17 Apr
@ Concarneau
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Caen
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 6
LWDDLL
17 Apr
vs Orleans
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Aubagne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rouen vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Rouen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aubagne 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Aubagne?
Rouen vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin1
Dijon1