Aubagne travel to Stade du Hainaut in the National 1 on Friday 27 March (19:30 WAT) to face Valenciennes. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Concarneau 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Aubagne's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Sochaux 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Valenciennes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Valenciennes and 0.8 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
Aubagne18%fair 5.64 · @4.40
2.59Expected goals
1.74Valenciennes xG
0.85Aubagne xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.7 – 0.8 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Valenciennes or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.65
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 4
WWDL
20 Mar
@ Concarneau
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 6
LLLLLW
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Aubagne.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aubagne 18%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Aubagne?
Valenciennes vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon3
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0