Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceFleury 91 or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 preview and prediction
The match
Bourg-en-bresse 01 travel to Stade Robert Bobin in the National 1 on Friday 27 March (19:30 WAT) to face Fleury 91. Fleury 91 are 12th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fleury 91's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Versailles 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fleury 91 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Fleury 91 and 0.6 for Bourg-en-bresse 01. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fleury 91 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fleury 9164%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Bourg-en-bresse 0112%fair 8.10 · @4.33
2.35Expected goals
1.74Fleury 91 xG
0.61Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.7 – 0.6 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Fleury 91 or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Fleury 91 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.05
–
Form
Fleury 91 – last 6
DWWLWD
20 Mar
@ Versailles
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Quevilly
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Concarneau
0–4
L
17 Feb
@ Stade Briochin
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 4
LWLL
13 Mar
@ Versailles
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Rouen
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Orleans
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Aubagne
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleury 91 and Bourg-en-bresse 01.
What is the prediction for Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Fleury 91 vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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