Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSochaux to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceSochaux or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Sochaux vs Concarneau preview and prediction
The match
Concarneau travel to Stade Auguste Bonal in the National 1 on Friday 13 March (19:30 WAT) to face Sochaux.
Form guide
Sochaux's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Villefranche 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Concarneau's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Dijon 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sochaux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Sochaux and 0.8 for Concarneau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sochaux 1–0 Concarneau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sochaux60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
Concarneau20%fair 5.11 · @4.10
2.36Expected goals
1.61Sochaux xG
0.75Concarneau xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.6 – 0.8 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sochaux or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
Sochaux – last 3
WWD
27 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Caen
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 3
DWL
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Concarneau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sochaux vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Concarneau 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–0 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Sochaux vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Dijon2
Stade Briochin2