Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Caen to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Le Puy Foot vs Caen preview and prediction
The match
Caen travel to Stade Charles Massot in the National 1 on Friday 13 March (19:30 WAT) to face Le Puy Foot. Le Puy Foot are 8th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Caen sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Le Puy Foot's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Gobelins 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Caen's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Chateauroux 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Le Puy Foot arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Le Puy Foot and 1.0 for Caen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Puy Foot 46%, draw 22%, Caen 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Caen to win at 3.45 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Puy Foot46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Caen32%fair 3.15 · @3.45
2.38Expected goals
1.34Le Puy Foot xG
1.04Caen xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.3 – 1.0 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Puy Foot to win✓
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Le Puy Foot – last 4
WDDD
6 Mar
@ Gobelins
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Orleans
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Caen – last 3
DLD
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Caen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caen 32%.
How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Le Puy Foot vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Dijon2
Stade Briochin2
Sochaux2