Aubagne travel to Stade Gaston-Gérard in the National 1 on Friday 13 March (19:30 WAT) to face Dijon.
Form guide
Dijon's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Concarneau 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aubagne's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Fleury 91 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Dijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Dijon and 0.6 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dijon 66%, draw 21%, Aubagne 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dijon 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dijon66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Aubagne13%fair 7.70 · @6.20
2.46Expected goals
1.81Dijon xG
0.65Aubagne xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Dijon 1.8 – 0.6 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
Dijon or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Dijon ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.01
–
Form
Dijon – last 3
DWD
6 Mar
@ Concarneau
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Villefranche
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Caen
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 4
LLLW
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Aubagne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dijon vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Dijon have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aubagne 13%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Dijon 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Aubagne?
Dijon vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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