Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Le Puy Foot to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Rouen vs Le Puy Foot preview and prediction
The match
Rouen host Le Puy Foot in the National 1 on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Le Puy Foot sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Rouen and 1.0 for Le Puy Foot. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rouen 45%, draw 22%, Le Puy Foot 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Le Puy Foot to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rouen 1–1 Le Puy Foot. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Le Puy Foot33%fair 3.06 · @3.25
2.35Expected goals
1.31Rouen xG
1.05Le Puy Foot xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.3 – 1.0 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.98
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Rouen – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Chateauroux
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Le Puy Foot – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Orleans
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Le Puy Foot.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?
On our numbers Rouen have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Le Puy Foot 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?
Rouen vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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