Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenciennes to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Gobelins vs Valenciennes preview and prediction
The match
Valenciennes travel to Stade Pele in the National 1 on Friday 20 February (19:30 WAT) to face Gobelins. Gobelins are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valenciennes sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Gobelins and 1.3 for Valenciennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gobelins33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Valenciennes44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.38Expected goals
1.08Gobelins xG
1.31Valenciennes xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gobelins 1.1 – 1.3 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✗
44%
2.25
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Gobelins – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gobelins and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valenciennes 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Gobelins vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sochaux3
Dijon2