Sochaux travel to Stade Michel d'Ornano in the National 1 on Friday 20 February (19:30 WAT) to face Caen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Caen and 1.2 for Sochaux. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caen 38%, draw 24%, Sochaux 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Caen 1–1 Sochaux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caen38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Sochaux38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
2.34Expected goals
1.16Caen xG
1.18Sochaux xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caen 1.2 – 1.2 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
38%
2.61
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
Caen – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caen and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Caen vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Caen have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sochaux 38%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Sochaux?
Caen vs Sochaux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel d'Ornano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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