Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.26Odds
1
Value bet: Aubagne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAubagne to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceAubagne or draw ✗81% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Aubagne vs Quevilly preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Aubagne take on Quevilly on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Aubagne are 17th with 7 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Quevilly sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Aubagne and 0.7 for Quevilly. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aubagne 60%, draw 21%, Quevilly 19%.
Safer route: Aubagne or draw (81%) at 1.26.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Aubagne to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aubagne or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.26, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aubagne 1–0 Quevilly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.10
Quevilly19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
2.35Expected goals
1.60Aubagne xG
0.75Quevilly xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.6 – 0.7 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aubagne to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aubagne or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.46
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aubagne / FT Aubagne✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.53
–
Form
Aubagne – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Quevilly
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Quevilly.
Our pick is Aubagne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Aubagne vs Quevilly?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Quevilly 19%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Quevilly?
Aubagne vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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