Value bet: Spezia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCesena to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Cesena vs Spezia preview and prediction
The match
Cesena host Spezia in the Serie B on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Cesena and 1.1 for Spezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 45%, draw 22%, Spezia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Spezia to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Spezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Spezia33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
2.38Expected goals
1.31Cesena xG
1.07Spezia xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.3 – 1.1 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✗
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Cesena
No recent results on record.
Spezia – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Frosinone
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Spezia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cesena vs Spezia?
On our numbers Cesena have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spezia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Spezia?
Cesena vs Spezia (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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