Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Bari to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPadova to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Padova vs Bari preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Padova take on Bari on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Euganeo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Padova and 1.1 for Bari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Padova 40%, draw 25%, Bari 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Bari to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Padova 1–1 Bari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Padova40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Bari36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
2.27Expected goals
1.17Padova xG
1.09Bari xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Padova 1.2 – 1.1 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✗
40%
2.52
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.32
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Padova
No recent results on record.
Bari – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Sudtirol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Bari.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Padova vs Bari?
On our numbers Padova have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bari 36%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Bari?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Bari?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Bari?
Padova vs Bari (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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