Value bet: Sampdoria to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.70
Mantova vs Sampdoria preview and prediction
The match
Mantova host Sampdoria in the Serie B on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Mantova are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Sampdoria sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Mantova and 1.3 for Sampdoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Sampdoria to win at 2.55 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova34%fair 2.93 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.00
Sampdoria42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
2.42Expected goals
1.13Mantova xG
1.30Sampdoria xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.1 – 1.3 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✗
42%
2.36
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.70
–
Form
Mantova
No recent results on record.
Sampdoria
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mantova vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Mantova have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sampdoria 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Mantova vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari1
Venezia3
Pescara2
Spezia3
Monza