Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeça to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceLeça or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.20
Resende vs Leça preview and prediction
The match
Leça travel to Estádio Municipal de Fornelos in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT) to face Resende.
Form guide
Resende's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Vila Real 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leça's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Salgueiros 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leça arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Resende and 1.7 for Leça. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Resende 12%, draw 25%, Leça 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leça to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Resende 0–1 Leça. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Resende12%fair 8.39 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40
Leça63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
2.38Expected goals
0.63Resende xG
1.75Leça xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Resende 0.6 – 1.7 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Leça or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Leça ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.20
–
Form
Resende – last 5
WLLDW
15 Mar
@ Vila Real
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rebordosa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Aparecida
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Vila Meã
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Salgueiros
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Leça – last 5
WDDWW
15 Mar
vs Salgueiros
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Beira-Mar
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Anadia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Gouveia
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs União Lamas
4–0
W
2.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Resende and Leça.
Our pick is Leça to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Resende vs Leça?
On our numbers Resende have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leça 63%.
How many goals will there be in Resende vs Leça?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Resende vs Leça?
Our predicted score is Resende 0–1 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Resende vs Leça?
Resende vs Leça (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Fornelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Alpendorada3
Beira-Mar1
Cinfães1
Salgueiros2
Florgrade0
Gouveia0
União Lamas2
Aparecida3
Vila Real1
Vila Meã1
Rebordosa0