Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Rebordosa to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRebordosa to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Vila Meã vs Rebordosa preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B sees Vila Meã take on Rebordosa on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã.
Form guide
Vila Meã's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to União Lamas 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rebordosa's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Aparecida 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rebordosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Vila Meã and 1.3 for Rebordosa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Meã 28%, draw 22%, Rebordosa 49%.
Value angle: Rebordosa to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vila Meã 0–1 Rebordosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Meã28%fair 3.51 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Rebordosa49%fair 2.04 · @2.25
2.17Expected goals
0.88Vila Meã xG
1.29Rebordosa xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vila Meã 0.9 – 1.3 Rebordosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
49%
2.04
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Vila Meã – last 5
LDLDD
15 Mar
@ União Lamas
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Alpendorada
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Resende
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Rebordosa – last 5
WWWWW
15 Mar
vs Aparecida
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Resende
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Salgueiros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Beira-Mar
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Anadia
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Meã and Rebordosa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Rebordosa?
On our numbers Vila Meã have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rebordosa 49%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Rebordosa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Rebordosa?
Our predicted score is Vila Meã 0–1 Rebordosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vila Meã vs Rebordosa?
Vila Meã vs Rebordosa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Alpendorada3
Beira-Mar1
Cinfães1
Salgueiros2
Florgrade0
Gouveia0
União Lamas2
Aparecida3
Vila Real1
Resende1
Leça1